Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MSTR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 143.939843 167.270220 194.171786 227.713597 268.732003 317.670761 381.095020
2025-11-23 111.010414 138.727689 173.772426 222.090904 288.196348 377.312150 509.807117
2025-11-30 98.014641 129.588789 172.520515 236.783281 333.481396 478.708311 724.035155
2025-12-07 85.582839 118.033010 164.661523 239.084759 359.993847 558.713544 933.972499
2025-12-14 77.130485 110.255240 160.162822 244.435220 391.130699 653.291490 1204.691654
2025-12-21 69.352190 102.088756 153.383412 244.212333 412.025704 735.063100 1485.477999
2025-12-28 66.121947 100.355146 156.251859 260.395235 465.772556 895.611466 2017.291200
2026-01-04 62.663114 97.684126 156.986711 272.645932 514.818803 1063.389584 2668.901420
2026-01-11 59.259575 94.605650 156.446804 282.196407 560.606818 1240.848780 3473.020436
2026-01-18 55.558379 90.530275 153.471083 286.230810 595.197461 1404.357608 4366.021621
2026-01-25 51.811961 85.933577 148.874537 285.992350 619.699800 1551.138281 5334.623699
2026-02-01 47.828877 80.485208 141.956050 279.518151 627.188503 1652.356918 6222.343853
2026-02-08 44.174323 75.426241 135.469975 273.573614 636.511581 1770.492433 7365.825238
2026-02-15 40.877918 70.736899 129.197246 267.135235 643.239841 1885.685635 8669.790392
2026-02-22 40.207228 71.028635 133.170192 285.803328 727.244304 2325.194813 12715.321064
2026-03-01 38.232017 68.539771 130.943569 288.752365 765.467600 2615.233599 16453.125375
2026-03-08 36.731626 66.855935 130.248184 295.526647 818.484923 3007.550393 22251.994865
2026-03-15 34.851788 64.215795 127.110376 295.247554 848.161161 3317.201998 28414.177719
2026-03-22 34.504510 64.737112 131.216906 315.755032 959.460286 4141.914096 45447.369373
2026-03-29 33.812882 64.451726 133.401776 331.328690 1059.761187 5023.071064 71094.362482
2026-04-05 32.942065 63.690928 134.349838 343.498239 1152.597978 5979.286216 110579.838571
2026-04-12 31.748703 62.107175 133.087061 348.646384 1218.678873 6844.800239 163446.601661
2026-04-19 30.372022 59.996178 130.268120 348.341978 1261.000466 7595.250061 231226.047318